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Norway vs France Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26/06/2026

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Leo Ostigard celebrates a goal with Norway defender
Cal Sport Media / Alamy Stock Photo

Top 3 Bets Summary

Here are our top three betting tips for the Group I decider between Norway and France:

  • Main Pick: France to Win
  • Goals Market: Both Teams To Score
  • Player Prop: Kylian Mbappé to Score Anytime
Norway
France
Odds are subject to change. Last updated June 24, 2026 2:49 pm

Norway vs France Match Details

  • Location: Foxborough, USA
  • Stadium: Gillette Stadium
  • Date: 26/06/2026
  • Kick-off Time: 21:00 SAST

Top 3 Betting Picks for Norway vs France

This clash brings together two of Europe’s most potent attacks, promising a thrilling conclusion to the group stage. While both nations are already through, securing top spot is a significant prize. Here are our data-driven selections for this encounter.

PicksWinner predictionType of betOdds
Pick 1FranceFull-Time Result1.60
Pick 2YesBoth Teams To Score1.75
Pick 3Kylian MbappéAnytime Goalscorer2.00

Pick 1: Full-Time Result: France to Win

The value here lies with backing the tournament favourites to secure top spot in the group. France have the depth and quality to manage this game effectively, even if they rotate their squad.

  • Superior Quality: The French squad’s attacking talent is overwhelming. They possess the tools to break down a Norwegian defence that has shown vulnerability.
  • Norway’s Defensive Frailties: Norway have conceded in seven of their last eight matches. While their attack is world-class, their defence may not hold up against a team of France’s calibre.
  • Head-to-Head Edge: The last encounter between these sides was a dominant 4-0 victory for France, and they have historically had the upper hand in this fixture.

Pick 2: Goals Market: Both Teams To Score

With some of the world’s best forwards on the pitch, expecting goals from both sides is a logical value play. This market looks particularly appealing given the attacking form of both nations.

  • Star Strikers: Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappé have each scored four goals in their opening two games. It’s hard to see either attack being kept quiet for 90 minutes.
  • Norway’s Goal Record: The ‘Both Teams to Score’ bet has been a winner in eight of Norway’s last nine matches, highlighting their potent attack but leaky defence.
  • France’s Attack: Les Bleus have scored three goals in each of their first two matches, creating numerous high-quality chances (big chances) in both games.

Pick 3: Player Prop: Kylian Mbappé to Score Anytime

Kylian Mbappé consistently delivers on the biggest stage and is in a heated race for the Golden Boot. Backing him to find the net against a susceptible Norwegian backline is a sharp betting angle.

  • Incredible Form: Mbappé has scored a brace in both of France’s group games so far, showcasing his clinical finishing.
  • Creative Support: With players like Michael Olise and Ousmane Dembélé providing elite service, Mbappé will not be short of opportunities to score.
  • Defensive Weakness: Norway conceded two goals against Senegal and one against Iraq. A player of Mbappé’s quality should be able to exploit these defensive gaps.

Recent Form & Head-to-Head

Both teams enter this match in formidable form. Norway are on a remarkable 12-match winning streak in competitive games, scoring an astonishing 53 goals during that run. Their attack, led by Erling Haaland, is one of the most feared in the competition. However, they have conceded in both of their opening tournament matches.

France have also secured maximum points from their first two fixtures and are riding an eight-match winning streak overall. While they have a history of not winning all three group games at recent tournaments, their current momentum is undeniable. The historical head-to-head record favours France, who won the last meeting 4-0 in a 2014 friendly, although the last competitive fixture was back in 1989.

Match Preview: Norway vs France

The stage is set for a blockbuster finish to Group I as Norway and France battle for top spot. With both teams having already secured qualification to the knockout rounds, this match is a straight shootout for a more favourable path in the Round of 32. For Norway, a victory would be a historic statement in their first tournament appearance since 1998.

The narrative is dominated by the duel between two global superstars: Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappé. Both have lit up the tournament with four goals apiece, and their individual brilliance will likely decide the outcome. France’s superior goal difference means a draw is enough for them to finish first, putting the pressure on Norway to push for the win.

Team News & Predicted Lineups

With qualification assured, both managers may opt to rotate their squads to rest key players for the knockout stages. For Norway, Julian Ryerson is a doubt after picking up an injury against Senegal, and it’s possible that stars like Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard could be rested after long club seasons.

Didier Deschamps is also expected to make changes for France, giving opportunities to squad players like Ryan Cherki and Manu Koné. However, the core of their formidable attack, including Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise, is likely to feature from the start to ensure they secure the top position in the group.

Norway Predicted Lineup (4-3-3): Nyland; Møller Wolfe, Østigård, Ajer, Pedersen; Berg, Berge, Thorstvedt; Schjelderup, Bobb, Strand Larsen

France Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Hernández, Upamecano, Saliba, Koundé; Tchouaméni, Koné; Doué, Cherki, Olise; Mbappé