Top 3 Bets Summary
- Match Result: Draw
- Goals Market: Both Teams to Score – Yes
- Player Prop: Erling Haaland to Score Anytime
Norway vs Senegal Match Details
- Location: East Rutherford, USA
- Stadium: MetLife Stadium
- Date: 23/06/2026
- Kick-off Time: 02:00 SAST
Top 3 Betting Picks for Norway vs Senegal
| picks | Winner Prediction | Type of bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pick 1 | Draw | Full-Time Result | 3.40 |
| Pick 2 | Yes | Both Teams to Score | 1.75 |
| Pick 3 | Erling Haaland | Anytime Goalscorer | 1.90 |
Pick 1: Full-Time Result – Draw
This Group I clash projects to be a tightly contested affair, making the draw a significant value play. The Norway vs Senegal odds reflect this, with bookmakers pricing both teams as odds-against. Norway holds a slight edge with an implied 44% win probability, but Senegal is not far behind at 31%.
- Internal data models project a close scoreline, with an expected goal split of 1.34 for Norway and 1.19 for Senegal.
- With such narrow margins separating the sides, backing the draw at the highest price in the Full-Time Result market presents a logical angle.
Pick 2: Goals Market – Both Teams to Score
Both nations possess the firepower to get on the scoresheet. While Norway dominated Iraq, they still conceded, marking the seventh time in their last eight matches that a ‘Both Teams to Score’ bet has landed. This trend includes conceding against lower-ranked opposition, highlighting a defensive vulnerability Senegal can exploit.
- Senegal boasts immense quality in the final third, with players like Ibrahim Mbaye and Iliman Ndiaye making an impact against France.
- Norway’s attack, led by the formidable duo of Erling Haaland and Alexander Sorloth, averaged 4.63 goals per 90 in qualifying and put four past Iraq.
Pick 3: Player Prop – Erling Haaland to Score Anytime
Erling Haaland is the focal point of Norway’s attack and a prime candidate for the goalscorer market. He was the star against Iraq, bagging two goals and proving his elite form has carried over to the international stage. His underlying numbers from that match are simply staggering.
- After matchday one, no player in the tournament accumulated a higher Expected Goals (xG) figure than Haaland’s 1.85.
- He has scored multiple goals in his last five competitive appearances for his country and is also Norway’s designated penalty taker, adding another route to goal.
Recent Form & Head-to-Head
Norway enters this crucial second match flying high after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq. Ståle Solbakken’s side was a constant threat, registering an impressive 2.52 xG and controlling the game. Erling Haaland was central to this, continuing a streak that has seen him deliver 25 goal contributions in his last 11 competitive international games.
Senegal, meanwhile, faced a tough opening test against tournament favourites France, falling to a 3-1 defeat. Despite the result, the Lions of Teranga were competitive, and the loss was only their second in their last 10 matches. These two nations have a limited history, with their only previous meeting being a friendly in 2006, which Senegal won 2-1.
Fri, 27 Mar  2 1 |
Tue, 31 Mar 0  0 |
Mon, 1 Jun 3  1 |
Sun, 7 Jun  1 1 |
Tue, 16 Jun  (1.2 xG) 1 (2.33 xG) 4 | |
Tue, 23 Jun  | 00:00 |
Fri, 26 Jun  | 19:00 |
Sun, 18 Jan 0 3 |
Sat, 28 Mar 2  0 |
Tue, 31 Mar 3  1 |
Sun, 31 May  3 2 |
Tue, 9 Jun  0 0 | |
Tue, 16 Jun (1.85 xG) 3 (0.65 xG) 1 | |
Tue, 23 Jun | 00:00 |
Fri, 26 Jun | 19:00 |
Match Preview: Norway vs Senegal
The stakes are incredibly high in this Group I showdown. This fixture was always earmarked as a potential decider for the second qualification spot behind France, and the opening-round results have only amplified its importance. Norway can effectively secure a place in the knockout rounds with a victory, setting up a final group match to contest top spot.
For Senegal, this is a must-not-lose encounter. After dropping points against France, they need a positive result to keep their progression hopes firmly in their own hands. Expect a tactical battle where Senegal’s attacking depth will test a Norwegian defence that has shown it can be breached, while Norway will look to Haaland to be the difference-maker once again.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Both managers have the luxury of a fully fit squad heading into this vital match. Neither Norway nor Senegal reported any injury or suspension concerns following their opening games of the tournament. Ståle Solbakken is expected to stick with the same lineup that comfortably dispatched Iraq, with the powerful Haaland-Sorloth partnership leading the line.
Senegal’s Pape Thiaw faces a selection headache after the strong performances of substitutes Ibrahim Mbaye and Iliman Ndiaye against France. However, he is likely to trust the starting eleven that began the tournament to deliver a result here.
- Norway Predicted Lineup (4-4-2): Nyland; Moller Wolfe, Heggem, Ajer, Ryerson; Berge, Berg, Odegaard, Nusa; Sorloth, Haaland
- Senegal Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Mendy; Diouf, Niakhate, Koulibaly, Diatta; P. Gueye, I. Gueye; Mane, Camara, Sarr; Jackson
| 2Morten Thorsby |
| 4Leo Østigard |
| 11Jørgen Strand Larsen |
| 12Sander Tangvik |
| 13Egil Selvik |
| 15Fredrik Bjørkan |
| 16Marcus Pedersen |
| 18Kristian Thorstvedt |
| 19Thelo Aasgaard |
| 21Andreas Schjelderup |
| 22Oscar Bobb |
| 23Jens Petter Hauge |
| 24Sondre Langås |
| 25Henrik Falchener |
| 6Patrick Berg |
| 1Yehvann Diouf |
| 2Mamadou Sarr |
| 4Abdoulaye Seck |
| 6Pathe Ciss |
| 7Assane Diao |
| 9Bamba Dieng |
| 12Cherif Ndiaye |
| 13Iliman Ndiaye |
| 14Ismail Jakobs |
| 17Pape Sarr |
| 20Ibrahim Mbaye |
| 22Bara Sapoko Ndiaye |
| 23Mory Diaw |
| 24Antoine Mendy |
| 21Habib Diarra |
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