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Newcastle vs Hull Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19/09/2026

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Pedri of FC Barcelona on the ball during the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 League Phase MD1 match between Newcastle United and FC Barcelona, 18th September 2025
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Top 3 Bets Summary

  • Draw & Both Teams to Score: A high-value play combining Newcastle’s defensive issues with Hull’s surprising goal threat.
  • Both Teams to Score: A solid accumulator pick, backed by Newcastle’s home record of goals at both ends.
  • Full-Time Result – Draw: A value bet against the favourites, capitalizing on Hull’s unbeaten form.
Odds are subject to change. Last updated September 19, 2026 1:33 am

Newcastle vs Hull Match Details

  • Location: Newcastle, England
  • Stadium: St. James’ Park
  • Date: 19/09/2026
  • Kick-off Time: 16:00 SAST

Top 3 Betting Picks for Newcastle vs Hull

Our analysis of the Newcastle vs Hull odds points towards a tight contest where the visitors could upset the favourites. Here are our top data-driven betting tips for this Premier League clash.

PicksWinner predictionType of betOdds
Pick 1Draw & Both Teams to Score – YESMatch Result & BTTS4.75
Pick 2Both Teams To ScoreGoals Market1.70
Pick 3DrawFull-Time Result4.33

Pick 1: Draw & Both Teams to Score – YES

This bet offers exceptional value, targeting Newcastle’s defensive frailties at home and Hull’s unexpected attacking form. The data suggests a score draw is highly probable.

  • Newcastle’s last two home league games under manager Matthias Jaissle have been 2-2 draws.
  • The Magpies have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 home league matches, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game.
  • Hull have scored in three of their opening four games, including two goals away at Chelsea.

Pick 2: Both Teams To Score

For those building an accumulator, the BTTS market is a strong choice. Newcastle are a reliable source of goals at St. James’ Park, but their backline is equally generous.

  • Both teams have found the net in 10 of Newcastle’s last 12 Premier League home fixtures.
  • Hull proved their attacking credentials by registering a higher xG than Chelsea in their recent 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge.
  • Newcastle have scored in 11 of their 12 home league games in 2026, averaging two goals per match.

Pick 3: Draw

While Newcastle are the bookmakers’ favourites, their recent form doesn’t justify the short odds. Hull are unbeaten and have proven they can take points from top teams, making the draw a superb value play.

  • Newcastle have won just three of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
  • Hull are undefeated in their opening four fixtures, securing impressive draws against Chelsea and a win over Manchester United.
  • The expected goals (xG) difference between the two sides this season is a tiny 0.05, indicating a much closer contest than the odds suggest.

Recent Form & Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between these sides points towards goals. In their last five encounters, four have seen both teams score, with a high average of 3.8 goals per game. Newcastle hold a slight edge with two wins to Hull’s one, alongside two draws. This history supports the prediction of an open, competitive match.

Recent form tells a tale of two different trajectories. Newcastle are looking to recover from a humbling 4-0 defeat to Leeds, which exposed significant defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Hull are one of the league’s surprise packages, remaining unbeaten after four games and holding Chelsea to a 2-2 draw in their last outing.

DateHome TeamResultAway TeamCompetition
29/11/2016Hull1-1 (3-1p)NewcastleEFL Cup
31/01/2015Hull0-3NewcastlePremier League
20/09/2014Newcastle2-2HullPremier League
01/03/2014Hull1-4NewcastlePremier League
21/09/2013Newcastle2-3HullPremier League

Match Preview: Newcastle vs Hull

Newcastle enter this clash under pressure after being dismantled 4-0 by Leeds. The result highlighted a worrying trend for the Magpies, who have conceded the most shots in the Premier League (76) so far. Their defensive structure is a major concern, and they must find stability to avoid another setback.

Meanwhile, Hull arrive at St. James’ Park as the surprise package of the season. Predicted by many for relegation, they sit fourth and unbeaten. Sergej Jakirovic’s side thrives without the ball, averaging just 29.3% possession but boasting a well-organised defence and clinical finishing that could trouble the hosts.

Team News & Predicted Lineups

Newcastle’s midfield is stretched thin. Nico Gonzalez is out under concussion protocols, joining Joelinton and Jacob Ramsey on the sidelines. This forces Matthias Jaissle to rely on the young duo of Miley and Steur in the engine room. Winger Anthony Elanga is also unavailable, giving record signing Fernandez-Pardo a chance to start.

Hull are dealing with a significant injury list but have coped remarkably well. Key players like Jack Butland, Darko Gyabi, and H. Morita remain out. Despite these absences, the Tigers have maintained their structure and are expected to field a similar lineup to the one that secured a point at Stamford Bridge.

Newcastle Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1): Horniček; Dedić, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Miley, Steur; Murphy, Fernandez-Pardo, Barnes; Wissa

Hull Predicted Lineup (5-4-1): Tzolakis; Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, Giles; Slater, Crooks; Belloumi, Herrington, Stroud; McBurnie

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