If you are looking for the best baseball predictions, we’ve got you covered. In this guide, you will find our comprehensive betting predictions for MLB and NPB.
Baseball Predictions for Today
MLB Predictions for Today
NPB Predictions for Today
Baseball Odds
Baseball predictions are based on the odds allocated to various teams. Odds for favourites appear with a negative sign while the underdog has a positive sign. Popular teams with a great winning record are often overpriced; hence they have low-value odds. Underdogs have boosted odds, although the chances of winning are minimal.
However, bettors should prefer betting on underdogs because, in the long run, you may be lucky to win meaningful profits. With the significantly low odds, you may never make progress despite winning with favourites.
What Are the Best Baseball Betting Sites in South Africa?
How to Bet on Baseball Predictions?
Successful baseball predictions rely on various tips as discussed below.
Avoid Big Favorites
Bookmakers have realised that many baseball bettors like to wager on favourites, hence capitalising on the public bias. This implies that popular teams like the Yankees and Dodgers will always be overpriced. Remember that when favourites win, your reward is small, and when you lose, you are crushed. Therefore, it is not worth betting on them.
Bet Against the Public
The strategy of betting against the public has worked over the years because, in most cases, the public loses. Instead, it would be best if you relied on your gut feelings. Follow other parameters that include teams with star players and home teams.
The public will often go for a team that looked great last season without considering other current statistical factors.
Focus on Divisional Dogs
In competitions such as MLB, teams in the division meet more often; hence they are familiar with each other. Several meetings are beneficial to the underdog. They perform better with more runs expected to be scored which raises the variance as the underdog benefits more.
Know the Weather
Most of the baseball predictions are based on popular markets, including the moneyline. However, the weather is a significant factor to consider, especially wind. The direction and speed of wind can turn home runs into warning-track outs, which favour the over/under market.
Manage your Bankroll
Money management is a skill that every player must learn in baseball predictions and the entire betting industry. However, in this sport, you need to employ the flat betting approach, where you place a single unit for every game round.
For example, if you allocate R1000 and allocate R20 for every round, you can remain disciplined in any situation. In case of a series of losses, you will resist the temptation to place huge stakes in an attempt to recover your lost money.
Baseball Betting Markets
If you are looking forward to betting on baseball events, you must, first of all, understand the various markets. With sufficient information, you will establish the favourite team and the underdog. Players who would like to enhance their chances should learn to spot potential surprise wins from underdogs before betting on them.
Seasoned players will definitely make the right choices; however, amateur players should invest in more strategies.
Below are the popular baseball markets every player should know:
Point Spread
This is the most basic way of betting on this sport. It resembles the handicap market where a player has to bet within a given margin for their team to win. The – sign represents the favourite team, while the + sign is for the underdog.
In a practical example, we can consider a game featuring the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles. In this case, Red Sox is pitted as the favourite team with the potential to win by -6. A punter who places a bet on Red Sox will win the bet if the team wins by 6 or more points.
You will lose the bet if Red Sox wins by 5 points and below. On the other hand, if you wager on the Orioles to win the bet, but the team loses the game by 5 points or less, you will win that bet.
Moneyline Bets
This market involves different odds for the likely team to win. It does not involve any point-spread handicaps. To illustrate how this market works, we consider two teams: Los Angeles Dodgers and the Chicago Cubs.
In a match pitting these teams, we can consider the Dodgers as the favourite team and allocate it an odds value of -150.
Definitely, the Cubs will be the underdogs allocated an odds value of +130. The value of the stake for this example will be R100. If you are sure that the Dodgers will win the game, you must place R150 to win R100. The total winnings for this bet will be R150 plus the R100 profit.
If the Dodgers lose the game, you will also lose your bet. If a player chooses to bet on the Cubs, they must risk R100 for them to win R130 if their bet goes the right way. Therefore the bookmaker will give you the R100 together with R130 as profit. Obviously, if the Cubs lose the game, you walk home empty-handed.
Over/Under Bets
This market requires that you place a bet that factors in the total points, whether they will surpass or remain below a particular threshold. The bookmaker will set a specific number of points.
The combined number of points should be more or less than the set points. If you bet over, you win the bet if the points are more. If you place the under bet, the total number of points must be below the threshold.
Run Lines
Run lines have a resemblance with spreads because they are types of handicap betting. The most specific thing about this market is that the punter must guess the total amount of runs a team will make in a particular match.
For instance, if a bookmaker allocates the favourite team a -1.5 of runs, the team must win by at least 2 runs for you to win the bet. If an underdog is allocated +1.5 runs and the team loses by 2 or fewer runs, you still win the bet.
Long-Term Bets
These bets are also known as outright bets, and they involve wagering on a particular team to win the tournament or the entire competition. It is different from short-term bets mentioned above because of its massive potential to offer huge sums of money to winners.
However, always ensure you wager at the start of the competition because most bookmakers are likely to change the odds as the competition progresses.
Parlays
This market is similar to accumulator bets in other sports. Here, you can place a single wager with multiple picks from various events. For instance, if you have a bookmaker offering baseball predictions from various divisions, you can pick 2 or more matches and include them on a single bet slip.
Parlays have a greater potential to win you more money compared to single bets if you win. However, you can lose the entire bet if you lose one match in the parlay.
Baseball Predictions in South Africa FAQ
Odds with a – sign represent favourites, while those with a + sign represent the underdog team.
South Africa has bettors who love wagering on baseball events, although the game is not so popular in the country.
No tip can guarantee a player to pick a winner.
A punter chooses either a favourite or underdog to win the game because it does not involve any spreads or a range of points.
You place a single bet with multiple picks from various baseball events.